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With less than two weeks to go until what is set to exist a highly consequential midterm election, California adults are divided on whether the state is generally headed in the right direction (47%) or incorrect direction (48%); a majority of likely voters (54%) remember the land is headed in the incorrect direction (43% right direction). Similar shares held this view final month (wrong direction: 44% adults, 49% likely voters; right direction: 50% adults, 48% likely voters). Today, in that location is a wide partisan divide: vii in 10 Democrats are optimistic most the management of the state, while 91 per centum of Republicans and 59 per centum of independents are pessimistic. Majorities of residents in the Cardinal Valley and Orange/San Diego say the state is going in the wrong management, while a bulk in the San Francisco Bay Area say right management; adults elsewhere are divided. Across demographic groups, Californians ages 18 to 34 (60%), Asian Americans (52%), college graduates (52%), renters (52%), and women (52%) are the only groups in which a majority are optimistic about California’s direction.

Californians are much more pessimistic about the direction of the country than they are about the management of the land. Solid majorities of adults (62%) and likely voters (71%) say the United States is going in the wrong direction, and majorities have held this view since September 2021. One in three or fewer adults (33%) and likely voters (25%) think the country is going in the right direction. Majorities across all demographic groups and partisan groups, as well as across regions, are pessimistic near the direction of the Us.

The state of the economy and inflation are likely to play a disquisitional function in the upcoming ballot, and about 4 in ten adults (39%) and probable voters (43%) say they and their family are worse off financially than they were a year ago. Similar shares say they are financially in well-nigh the aforementioned spot (43% adults, 44% likely voters). The share who feel they are worse off has risen slightly amongst probable voters since May, but is like among adults (37% adults, 36% probable voters). Fewer than two in 10 Californians say they are improve off than they were ane year ago (17% adults, thirteen% likely voters). A wide partisan divide exists: near Democrats and independents say their financial situation is nigh the same as a year ago, while solid majorities of Republicans say they are worse off. Regionally, about half in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles say they are about the same, while half in the Central Valley say they are worse off; residents elsewhere are divided between being worse off and the same. Across demographic groups, pluralities say they are either financially about the aforementioned as final year or worse off, with the exception of African Americans (51% about the same, 33% worse off, 16% better off) and Asian Americans (51% about the same, 27% worse off, 20% ameliorate off). The shares saying they are worse off decline equally educational attainment increases.

With persistent aggrandizement and concerns nigh a possible recession in the time to come, an overwhelming majority of Californians believe the US economy is in not so practiced (43% adults, 40% likely voters) or poor (33% adults, 36% likely voters) shape. About a quarter of adults (3% excellent, xx% proficient) and probable voters (ii% excellent, 23% good) feel positively well-nigh the national economy. Strong majorities beyond partisan groups feel negatively, but Republicans and independents are much more probable than Democrats to say the economy is in poor shape. Solid majorities beyond the state’s major regions as well equally all demographic groups say the economic system is in not and so good or poor shape. In a recent ABC News/Washington Post poll, 24 pct (3% excellent, 21% good) of adults nationwide felt positively well-nigh the US economic system, while 74 per centum (36% non then good, 38% poor) expressed negative views.

6 in ten probable voters say they are post-obit news about the 2022 governor’s race very (25%) or fairly (35%) closely—a share that has risen from half just a month ago (17% very, 33% fairly). This finding is somewhat similar to October 2018, when 68 percent said this (28% very, xl% closely) a calendar month earlier the previous gubernatorial election. Today, majorities across partisan, demographic, and regional groups say they are following news about the gubernatorial election either very or fairly closely. The shares saying they are following the news very closely is highest among residents in Republican districts (39%), Republicans (30%), whites (29%), and adults with incomes of $40,000 to $79,999 (29%). Older likely voters (27%) are slightly more likely than younger likely voters (21%) to say they are following the news closely.

Democratic incumbent Gavin Newsom is ahead of Republican Brian Dahle (55% to 36%) among probable voters, while few say they would not vote, would vote for neither, or don’t know who they would vote for in the governor’southward race. The share supporting the reelection of the governor was similar a month ago (58% Newsom, 31% Dahle). Today, Newsom enjoys the support of almost Democrats (91%), while most Republicans (86%) support Dahle; Newsom has an border over Dahle among independent likely voters (47% Newsom, 37% Dahle). Across the land’s regions, ii in three in the San Francisco Bay Surface area and Los Angeles support Newsom, as practice nearly one-half in the Inland Empire and Orange/San Diego; likely voters in the Cardinal Valley are split. Newsom leads in all demographic groups, with the exception of men (45% Newsom, 44% Dahle) and those with a high school diploma only (46% Newsom, 49% Dahle). The share supporting Newsom grows as educational attainment increases (46% loftier school only, 56% some higher, 60% higher graduates), while it decreases with ascension income (64% less than $xl,000, 56% $forty,000 to $79,999, 52% $80,000 or more).

A solid majority of likely voters (62%) are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the November 8 election, while about three in 10 (32%) are non satisfied. Shares expressing satisfaction have increased somewhat from a month ago (53%) and were similar prior to the 2018 gubernatorial election (sixty% October 2018). Today, a solid majority of Democrats (79%) and independents (61%) say they are satisfied, compared to fewer than half of Republicans (44%). Majorities beyond demographic groups say they are satisfied, and notably, women (68%) are more probable than men (56%) to say this. Majorities across the state’due south regions say they are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the upcoming gubernatorial election.

In the upcoming Nov 8 election, there will exist seven state propositions for voters. Due to time constraints, our survey only asked about three ballot measures: Propositions 26, 27, and thirty. For each, we read the proposition number, election, and ballot characterization. Two of the country ballot measures were too included in the September survey (Propositions 27 and thirty), while Proposition 26 was non.

If the election were held today, 34 percent of probable voters would vote “yes,” 57 percent would vote “no,” and nine percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 26—Allows In-Person Roulette, Dice, Game, Sports Wagering on Tribal Lands. This measure would let in-person sports betting at racetracks and tribal casinos, requiring that racetracks and casinos offer sports betting make sure payments to the land to back up land regulatory costs. It too allows roulette and dice games at tribal casinos and adds a new way to enforce certain country gambling laws. There is partisan agreement on Prop 26: fewer than four in 10 Democrats, Republicans, and independents would vote “yes.” Moreover, less than a majority across all regions and demographic groups—with the exception of likely voters ages 18 to 44 (51% yes, 44% no)—would vote “aye.”

If the ballot were held today, 26 pct of probable voters would vote “aye,” 67 per centum would vote “no,” and 8 percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 27—Allows Online and Mobile Sports Wagering Outside Tribal Lands. This citizens’ initiative would permit Indian tribes and affiliated businesses to operate online and mobile sports wagering exterior tribal lands. Strong majorities beyond partisan groups would vote “no” on Prop 27. The share voting “aye” has decreased since a calendar month agone (34% September). Today, fewer than 3 in ten across partisan groups would vote “yes” on Prop 27. Moreover, fewer than four in 10 beyond regions, gender, racial/ethnic, pedagogy, and income groups would vote “yes.” Likely voters ages 18 to 44 (41%) are far more probable than older likely voters ages 45 and above (xix%) to say they would vote “yes.”

If the election were held today, 41 percent of likely voters would vote “aye,” 52 percent would vote “no,” and seven percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition xxx—Provides Funding for Programs to Reduce Air Pollution and Forestall Wildfires by Increasing Tax on Personal Income over $two Million. This citizens’ initiative would increase taxes on Californians earning more than $ii million annually and allocate that tax acquirement to null-emission vehicle purchase incentives, vehicle charging stations, and wildfire prevention. The share saying “yes” on Prop 30 has decreased from 55 percent in our September survey (note: since September, Governor Newsom has been featured in “no on Prop thirty” commercials). Today, unlike Prop 26 and Prop 27, partisan opinions are divided on Prop 30: 61 per centum of Democrats would vote “yes,” compared to far fewer Republicans (15%) and independents (38%). Beyond regions, and amidst men and women, back up falls short of a bulk (36% men, 45% women). Fewer than one-half beyond racial/ethnic groups say they would vote “yes” (39% whites, 42% Latinos, 46% other racial/ethnic groups). Simply over half of probable voters with incomes under $xl,000 (52%) would vote “yes,” compared to fewer in higher-income groups (42% $40,000 to $79,999, 36% $80,000 or more). Nigh half of probable voters ages 18 to 44 (49%) would vote “yes,” compared to 37 pct of older likely voters.

Fewer than half of likely voters say the outcome of each of these state propositions is very important to them. Today, 21 percent of likely voters say the issue of Prop 26 is very of import, 31 pct say the consequence of Prop 27 is very important, and 42 percent say the issue of Prop 30 is very important. The shares maxim the outcomes are very important to them have remained similar to a month agone for Prop 27 (29%) and Prop 30 (42%). Today, when it comes to the importance of the outcome of Prop 26, i in iv or fewer across partisan groups say information technology is very important to them. About one in three across partisan groups say the issue of Prop 27 is very of import to them. Fewer than half across partisan groups say the outcome of Prop 30 is very of import to them.

When asked how they would vote if the 2022 ballot for the US Business firm of Representatives were held today, 56 percentage of probable voters say they would vote for or lean toward the Democratic candidate, while 39 pct would vote for or lean toward the Republican candidate. In September, a similar share of probable voters preferred the Democratic candidate (60% Democrat/lean Democrat, 34% Republican/lean Republican). Today, overwhelming majorities of partisans support their party’due south candidate, while independents are divided (fifty% Democrat/lean Democrat, 44% Republican/lean Republican). Democratic candidates are preferred by a 26-indicate margin in Democratic-held districts, while Republican candidates are preferred past a 23-point margin in Republican-held districts. In the 10 competitive California districts equally defined by the Cook Political Study, the Democratic candidate is preferred by a 22-bespeak margin (54% to 32%).

Abortion is some other prominent issue in this election. When asked about the importance of ballgame rights, 61 percentage of probable voters say the issue is very of import in determining their vote for Congress and another 20 pct say information technology is somewhat important; just 17 percent say information technology is not too or not at all of import. Amongst partisans, an overwhelming majority of Democrats (78%) and 55 percent of independents say information technology is very of import, compared to 43 per centum of Republicans. Majorities beyond regions and all demographic groups—with the exception of men (49% very important)—say ballgame rights are very important when making their choice amongst candidates for Congress.

With the controlling political party in Congress hanging in the residue, 51 percent of probable voters say they are extremely or very enthusiastic well-nigh voting for Congress this year; another 29 pct are somewhat enthusiastic while nineteen percent are either not as well or non at all enthusiastic. In Oct 2018 earlier the terminal midterm ballot, a similar 53 percent of probable voters were extremely or very enthusiastic almost voting for Congress (25% extremely, 28% very, 28% somewhat, ten% non too, 8% non at all). Today, Democrats and Republicans take near equal levels of enthusiasm, while independents are much less likely to be extremely or very enthusiastic. Half or more across regions are at to the lowest degree very enthusiastic, with the exceptions of likely voters in Los Angeles (44%) and the San Francisco Bay Area (43%). At least half beyond demographic groups are highly enthusiastic, with the exceptions of likely voters earning $40,000 to $79,999 annually (48%), women (47%), Latinos (43%), those with a loftier school diploma or less (42%), renters (42%), and xviii- to 44-year-olds (37%).

Every bit Californians prepare to vote in the upcoming midterm ballot, fewer than one-half of adults and likely voters are satisfied with the way democracy is working in the U.s.a.—and few are very satisfied. Satisfaction was higher in our February survey when 53 percent of adults and 48 percent of probable voters were satisfied with democracy in America. Today, half of Democrats and nearly four in ten independents are satisfied, compared to virtually one in five Republicans. Notably, four in ten Republicans are not at all satisfied. Beyond regions, half of residents in the San Francisco Bay Surface area (52%) and the Inland Empire (fifty%) are satisfied, compared to fewer elsewhere. Across demographic groups, fewer than one-half are satisfied, with the exception of Latinos (56%), those with a high school degree or less (55%), and those making less than $40,000 (53%).

In addition to the lack of satisfaction with the way republic is working, Californians are divided well-nigh whether Americans of different political positions can still come together and piece of work out their differences. Forty-nine percent are optimistic, while 46 percent are pessimistic. Optimism has been similar in more recent years, but has decreased 7 points since we kickoff asked this question in September 2017 (56%). In September 2020, just earlier the 2020 general election, Californians were as well divided (47% optimistic, 49% pessimistic).

Today, in a rare moment of bipartisan agreement, nigh four in x Democrats, Republicans, and independents are optimistic that Americans of different political views volition exist able to come up together. Across regions, about half in Orange/San Diego, the Inland Empire, and the San Francisco Bay Surface area are optimistic. Across demographic groups, only the following groups have a majority or more who are optimistic: African Americans and Latinos (61% each), those with a high schoolhouse diploma or less (63%), and those with household incomes under $40,000 (61%). Notably, in 2017, half or more across parties, regions, and demographic groups were optimistic.

With well-nigh two weeks to become before Governor Newsom’s bid for reelection, a bulk of Californians (54%) and likely voters (52%) approve of the way he is treatment his job, while fewer disapprove (33% adults, 45% probable voters). Approval was about identical in September (52% adults, 55% likely voters) and has been 50 percentage or more than since January 2020. Today, well-nigh eight in ten Democrats—compared to about half of independents and about one in x Republicans—approve of Governor Newsom. One-half or more across regions approve of Newsom, except in the Central Valley (42%). Across demographic groups, well-nigh one-half or more approve of how Governor Newsom is handling his job.

With all 80 state associates positions and half of country senate seats up for election, fewer than half of adults (49%) and likely voters (43%) approve of the way that the California Legislature is handling its task. Views are deeply divided forth partisan lines; blessing is highest in the San Francisco Bay Surface area and lowest in Orange/San Diego. About half beyond racial/ethnic groups corroborate, and approval is much higher amongst younger Californians.

Majorities of California adults (53%) and likely voters (52%) approve of the way President Biden is treatment his job, while fewer disapprove (43% adults, 47% likely voters). Blessing is similar to September (53% adults and likely voters), and Biden’s approval rating amongst adults has been at 50 percent or higher since we beginning asked this question in January 2021. Today, virtually eight in ten Democrats approve of Biden’due south job performance, compared to near four in x independents and one in ten Republicans. Approval is higher in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles than in the Inland Empire, Orangish/San Diego, and the Central Valley. About half or more across demographic groups corroborate of President Biden, with the exception of those with some college education (44%).

Approval of Congress remains low, with fewer than four in x adults (37%) and likely voters (29%) approving. Approval of Congress among adults has been beneath 40 percent for all of 2022 after seeing a brief run higher up 40 percent for all of 2021. Democrats are far more than likely than Republicans to approve of Congress. Fewer than half across regions and demographic groups corroborate of Congress.

Us Senator Alex Padilla is on the California election twice this November—once for the remainder of Vice President Harris’s term and once for reelection. Senator Padilla has the approval of 46 percent of adults and 48 percent of likely voters (adults: 26% disapprove, 29% don’t know; likely voters: 31% disapprove, 22% don’t know). Approving in March was at 44 percent for adults and 39 pct for likely voters. Today, Padilla’due south approving rating is much college among Democrats than independents and Republicans. Beyond regions, about half in the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, and the Inland Empire corroborate of the US senator, compared to iv in ten in Orangish/San Diego and one in 3 in the Central Valley. Across demographic groups, about half or more approve among women, younger adults, African Americans, Asian Americans, and Latinos. Views are like across education and income groups, with just fewer than one-half approving.

U.s. Senator Dianne Feinstein—who is not on the California election this Nov—has the approval of 41 percent of adults and likely voters (adults: 42% disapprove, 17% don’t know; likely voters: 52% disapprove, seven% don’t know). Approval in March was at 41 percentage for adults and 36 pct for likely voters. Today, Feinstein’s approval rating is far higher among Democrats and independents than Republicans. Beyond regions, approval reaches a majority simply in the San Francisco Bay Surface area. Across demographic groups, approval reaches a majority only amid African Americans