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With less than two weeks to go until what is set to be a highly consequential midterm election, California adults are divided on whether the state is generally headed in the right direction (47%) or wrong direction (48%); a bulk of likely voters (54%) call up the land is headed in the wrong management (43% right direction). Similar shares held this view last month (incorrect management: 44% adults, 49% likely voters; correct direction: 50% adults, 48% likely voters). Today, at that place is a wide partisan divide: seven in ten Democrats are optimistic about the direction of the state, while 91 percent of Republicans and 59 percent of independents are pessimistic. Majorities of residents in the Primal Valley and Orange/San Diego say the state is going in the incorrect direction, while a majority in the San Francisco Bay Surface area say right direction; adults elsewhere are divided. Across demographic groups, Californians ages 18 to 34 (60%), Asian Americans (52%), higher graduates (52%), renters (52%), and women (52%) are the only groups in which a majority are optimistic about California’south direction.

Californians are much more than pessimistic near the management of the country than they are about the direction of the state. Solid majorities of adults (62%) and likely voters (71%) say the United States is going in the wrong direction, and majorities accept held this view since September 2021. 1 in three or fewer adults (33%) and likely voters (25%) recall the land is going in the correct direction. Majorities across all demographic groups and partisan groups, as well as across regions, are pessimistic about the direction of the Usa.

The state of the economic system and inflation are likely to play a disquisitional office in the upcoming election, and about iv in ten adults (39%) and likely voters (43%) say they and their family are worse off financially than they were a year ago. Similar shares say they are financially in most the same spot (43% adults, 44% probable voters). The share who experience they are worse off has risen slightly among likely voters since May, only is similar amid adults (37% adults, 36% likely voters). Fewer than two in 10 Californians say they are meliorate off than they were one twelvemonth ago (17% adults, xiii% likely voters). A broad partisan divide exists: nearly Democrats and independents say their financial situation is about the same as a yr ago, while solid majorities of Republicans say they are worse off. Regionally, nearly one-half in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles say they are well-nigh the same, while half in the Central Valley say they are worse off; residents elsewhere are divided between being worse off and the same. Across demographic groups, pluralities say they are either financially most the same equally last year or worse off, with the exception of African Americans (51% nigh the aforementioned, 33% worse off, 16% better off) and Asian Americans (51% near the aforementioned, 27% worse off, 20% better off). The shares saying they are worse off turn down as educational attainment increases.

With persistent inflation and concerns virtually a possible recession in the futurity, an overwhelming majority of Californians believe the United states economic system is in not and so adept (43% adults, xl% likely voters) or poor (33% adults, 36% likely voters) shape. About a quarter of adults (3% excellent, 20% skilful) and probable voters (2% splendid, 23% good) feel positively about the national economic system. Strong majorities beyond partisan groups feel negatively, merely Republicans and independents are much more likely than Democrats to say the economy is in poor shape. Solid majorities across the country’due south major regions every bit well every bit all demographic groups say the economy is in not so good or poor shape. In a contempo ABC News/Washington Post poll, 24 per centum (three% excellent, 21% good) of adults nationwide felt positively about the US economy, while 74 percent (36% non so good, 38% poor) expressed negative views.

6 in ten likely voters say they are following news about the 2022 governor’s race very (25%) or fairly (35%) closely—a share that has risen from half just a month ago (17% very, 33% fairly). This finding is somewhat similar to Oct 2018, when 68 percent said this (28% very, 40% closely) a calendar month before the previous gubernatorial election. Today, majorities across partisan, demographic, and regional groups say they are post-obit news about the gubernatorial election either very or adequately closely. The shares saying they are following the news very closely is highest among residents in Republican districts (39%), Republicans (30%), whites (29%), and adults with incomes of $xl,000 to $79,999 (29%). Older likely voters (27%) are slightly more than likely than younger probable voters (21%) to say they are following the news closely.

Democratic incumbent Gavin Newsom is ahead of Republican Brian Dahle (55% to 36%) amidst likely voters, while few say they would non vote, would vote for neither, or don’t know who they would vote for in the governor’due south race. The share supporting the reelection of the governor was like a calendar month agone (58% Newsom, 31% Dahle). Today, Newsom enjoys the back up of about Democrats (91%), while well-nigh Republicans (86%) support Dahle; Newsom has an edge over Dahle amongst independent probable voters (47% Newsom, 37% Dahle). Across the state’s regions, two in 3 in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles support Newsom, as do near half in the Inland Empire and Orange/San Diego; likely voters in the Primal Valley are split. Newsom leads in all demographic groups, with the exception of men (45% Newsom, 44% Dahle) and those with a high school diploma only (46% Newsom, 49% Dahle). The share supporting Newsom grows as educational attainment increases (46% loftier schoolhouse only, 56% some higher, lx% college graduates), while it decreases with rise income (64% less than $40,000, 56% $40,000 to $79,999, 52% $lxxx,000 or more).

A solid bulk of likely voters (62%) are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the Nov eight election, while about three in ten (32%) are non satisfied. Shares expressing satisfaction have increased somewhat from a calendar month ago (53%) and were similar prior to the 2018 gubernatorial election (60% October 2018). Today, a solid majority of Democrats (79%) and independents (61%) say they are satisfied, compared to fewer than half of Republicans (44%). Majorities across demographic groups say they are satisfied, and notably, women (68%) are more likely than men (56%) to say this. Majorities across the state’due south regions say they are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the upcoming gubernatorial election.

In the upcoming November 8 election, there will be seven state propositions for voters. Due to time constraints, our survey only asked virtually three ballot measures: Propositions 26, 27, and 30. For each, we read the suggestion number, ballot, and election label. Two of the state ballot measures were also included in the September survey (Propositions 27 and 30), while Proposition 26 was non.

If the election were held today, 34 percent of likely voters would vote “yeah,” 57 percent would vote “no,” and ix percentage are unsure of how they would vote on Proffer 26—Allows In-Person Roulette, Dice, Game, Sports Wagering on Tribal Lands. This measure would permit in-person sports betting at racetracks and tribal casinos, requiring that racetracks and casinos offering sports betting make certain payments to the state to support land regulatory costs. Information technology as well allows roulette and die games at tribal casinos and adds a new way to enforce sure state gambling laws. There is partisan agreement on Prop 26: fewer than four in ten Democrats, Republicans, and independents would vote “yes.” Moreover, less than a majority across all regions and demographic groups—with the exception of probable voters ages 18 to 44 (51% yes, 44% no)—would vote “yep.”

If the election were held today, 26 percent of likely voters would vote “yes,” 67 percent would vote “no,” and eight percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 27—Allows Online and Mobile Sports Wagering Outside Tribal Lands. This citizens’ initiative would let Indian tribes and affiliated businesses to operate online and mobile sports wagering exterior tribal lands. Strong majorities beyond partisan groups would vote “no” on Prop 27. The share voting “yes” has decreased since a month ago (34% September). Today, fewer than three in x beyond partisan groups would vote “yeah” on Prop 27. Moreover, fewer than four in ten beyond regions, gender, racial/ethnic, education, and income groups would vote “yes.” Likely voters ages xviii to 44 (41%) are far more likely than older likely voters ages 45 and above (19%) to say they would vote “yeah.”

If the election were held today, 41 percent of likely voters would vote “yes,” 52 pct would vote “no,” and seven percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition thirty—Provides Funding for Programs to Reduce Air Pollution and Forestall Wildfires by Increasing Tax on Personal Income over $two Million. This citizens’ initiative would increase taxes on Californians earning more than $2 one thousand thousand annually and classify that taxation revenue to zero-emission vehicle purchase incentives, vehicle charging stations, and wildfire prevention. The share saying “yeah” on Prop 30 has decreased from 55 percent in our September survey (notation: since September, Governor Newsom has been featured in “no on Prop 30” commercials). Today, unlike Prop 26 and Prop 27, partisan opinions are divided on Prop 30: 61 percent of Democrats would vote “aye,” compared to far fewer Republicans (fifteen%) and independents (38%). Across regions, and amid men and women, support falls brusque of a bulk (36% men, 45% women). Fewer than half beyond racial/ethnic groups say they would vote “yes” (39% whites, 42% Latinos, 46% other racial/ethnic groups). Just over one-half of likely voters with incomes under $40,000 (52%) would vote “yes,” compared to fewer in higher-income groups (42% $40,000 to $79,999, 36% $80,000 or more). Well-nigh one-half of likely voters ages 18 to 44 (49%) would vote “yeah,” compared to 37 percent of older likely voters.

Fewer than half of likely voters say the outcome of each of these state propositions is very important to them. Today, 21 per centum of likely voters say the upshot of Prop 26 is very important, 31 percent say the outcome of Prop 27 is very important, and 42 percent say the result of Prop 30 is very important. The shares proverb the outcomes are very of import to them accept remained similar to a month ago for Prop 27 (29%) and Prop thirty (42%). Today, when it comes to the importance of the outcome of Prop 26, one in four or fewer beyond partisan groups say it is very of import to them. About ane in three across partisan groups say the outcome of Prop 27 is very important to them. Fewer than one-half across partisan groups say the issue of Prop xxx is very important to them.

When asked how they would vote if the 2022 election for the US Business firm of Representatives were held today, 56 percent of likely voters say they would vote for or lean toward the Democratic candidate, while 39 percent would vote for or lean toward the Republican candidate. In September, a similar share of probable voters preferred the Autonomous candidate (60% Democrat/lean Democrat, 34% Republican/lean Republican). Today, overwhelming majorities of partisans support their party’southward candidate, while independents are divided (50% Democrat/lean Democrat, 44% Republican/lean Republican). Democratic candidates are preferred by a 26-point margin in Democratic-held districts, while Republican candidates are preferred by a 23-indicate margin in Republican-held districts. In the 10 competitive California districts as defined by the Melt Political Report, the Democratic candidate is preferred past a 22-signal margin (54% to 32%).

Ballgame is another prominent event in this election. When asked about the importance of abortion rights, 61 percent of likely voters say the consequence is very important in determining their vote for Congress and another twenty percent say it is somewhat important; just 17 percent say it is not too or not at all of import. Among partisans, an overwhelming majority of Democrats (78%) and 55 percent of independents say it is very of import, compared to 43 percent of Republicans. Majorities across regions and all demographic groups—with the exception of men (49% very important)—say ballgame rights are very important when making their choice amongst candidates for Congress.

With the decision-making party in Congress hanging in the remainder, 51 pct of likely voters say they are extremely or very enthusiastic most voting for Congress this year; some other 29 percent are somewhat enthusiastic while 19 percent are either not too or not at all enthusiastic. In October 2018 before the last midterm election, a like 53 percent of likely voters were extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for Congress (25% extremely, 28% very, 28% somewhat, 10% not too, 8% non at all). Today, Democrats and Republicans take most equal levels of enthusiasm, while independents are much less likely to be extremely or very enthusiastic. Half or more beyond regions are at least very enthusiastic, with the exceptions of likely voters in Los Angeles (44%) and the San Francisco Bay Expanse (43%). At to the lowest degree one-half across demographic groups are highly enthusiastic, with the exceptions of probable voters earning $40,000 to $79,999 annually (48%), women (47%), Latinos (43%), those with a high school diploma or less (42%), renters (42%), and 18- to 44-year-olds (37%).

As Californians prepare to vote in the upcoming midterm election, fewer than half of adults and likely voters are satisfied with the fashion democracy is working in the U.s.—and few are very satisfied. Satisfaction was higher in our February survey when 53 percent of adults and 48 percent of likely voters were satisfied with commonwealth in America. Today, half of Democrats and about four in ten independents are satisfied, compared to about one in 5 Republicans. Notably, iv in ten Republicans are non at all satisfied. Beyond regions, half of residents in the San Francisco Bay Expanse (52%) and the Inland Empire (l%) are satisfied, compared to fewer elsewhere. Beyond demographic groups, fewer than half are satisfied, with the exception of Latinos (56%), those with a high schoolhouse degree or less (55%), and those making less than $40,000 (53%).

In addition to the lack of satisfaction with the way democracy is working, Californians are divided near whether Americans of different political positions can still come up together and work out their differences. Xl-nine percent are optimistic, while 46 percent are pessimistic. Optimism has been similar in more than recent years, but has decreased 7 points since we kickoff asked this question in September 2017 (56%). In September 2020, only before the 2020 general election, Californians were too divided (47% optimistic, 49% pessimistic).

Today, in a rare moment of bipartisan agreement, about iv in ten Democrats, Republicans, and independents are optimistic that Americans of different political views will exist able to come up together. Beyond regions, about half in Orange/San Diego, the Inland Empire, and the San Francisco Bay Area are optimistic. Across demographic groups, but the following groups have a majority or more who are optimistic: African Americans and Latinos (61% each), those with a high school diploma or less (63%), and those with household incomes under $xl,000 (61%). Notably, in 2017, half or more across parties, regions, and demographic groups were optimistic.

With well-nigh two weeks to go before Governor Newsom’south bid for reelection, a bulk of Californians (54%) and likely voters (52%) approve of the way he is treatment his job, while fewer disapprove (33% adults, 45% likely voters). Approving was nigh identical in September (52% adults, 55% likely voters) and has been 50 percentage or more since January 2020. Today, about eight in x Democrats—compared to about half of independents and about one in ten Republicans—corroborate of Governor Newsom. Half or more beyond regions approve of Newsom, except in the Central Valley (42%). Across demographic groups, about half or more corroborate of how Governor Newsom is handling his job.

With all 80 state assembly positions and half of state senate seats up for election, fewer than one-half of adults (49%) and likely voters (43%) corroborate of the way that the California Legislature is handling its task. Views are securely divided along partisan lines; approval is highest in the San Francisco Bay Area and everyman in Orange/San Diego. About half beyond racial/ethnic groups approve, and approving is much higher among younger Californians.

Majorities of California adults (53%) and likely voters (52%) approve of the way President Biden is handling his job, while fewer disapprove (43% adults, 47% likely voters). Approving is similar to September (53% adults and likely voters), and Biden’south approval rating among adults has been at 50 percent or college since we first asked this question in January 2021. Today, nigh eight in ten Democrats approve of Biden’s task functioning, compared to nigh four in ten independents and one in ten Republicans. Approving is higher in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles than in the Inland Empire, Orange/San Diego, and the Central Valley. About half or more than beyond demographic groups approve of President Biden, with the exception of those with some higher education (44%).

Approval of Congress remains low, with fewer than iv in x adults (37%) and likely voters (29%) approving. Approval of Congress among adults has been below 40 percent for all of 2022 after seeing a brief run above 40 percent for all of 2021. Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to approve of Congress. Fewer than half across regions and demographic groups approve of Congress.

US Senator Alex Padilla is on the California ballot twice this Nov—one time for the residue of Vice President Harris’s term and once for reelection. Senator Padilla has the approving of 46 percent of adults and 48 percent of likely voters (adults: 26% disapprove, 29% don’t know; likely voters: 31% disapprove, 22% don’t know). Approving in March was at 44 percent for adults and 39 pct for probable voters. Today, Padilla’due south approval rating is much higher among Democrats than independents and Republicans. Beyond regions, about half in the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, and the Inland Empire approve of the Usa senator, compared to four in x in Orange/San Diego and 1 in three in the Central Valley. Across demographic groups, about half or more corroborate amongst women, younger adults, African Americans, Asian Americans, and Latinos. Views are similar across education and income groups, with just fewer than half blessing.

US Senator Dianne Feinstein—who is non on the California ballot this November—has the approving of 41 percent of adults and probable voters (adults: 42% disapprove, 17% don’t know; probable voters: 52% disapprove, seven% don’t know). Blessing in March was at 41 percent for adults and 36 percent for likely voters. Today, Feinstein’south approving rating is far higher amid Democrats and independents than Republicans. Across regions, approval reaches a majority simply in the San Francisco Bay Area. Across demographic groups, approval reaches a majority just among African Americans